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Language：Japanese   Publisher：東京 : 日本証券アナリスト協会  

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Other Link： https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I033571020

Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher：Elsevier BV  

DOI： 10.1016/j.iref.2020.06.003

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Language：English   Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher：ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC  

This paper describes an investigation of the transmission of US shocks to Asian economies with consideration of financial linkages and trade linkages. Using the sign restriction vector autoregression (VAR) approach during 2000-2012, our empirical results can be summarized as follows. First, both US financial and trade linkages exert a significant impact on production in Asian economies. Second, through both financial and trade linkages, US spillover shocks account for around 50% of the production fluctuation in Asian economies. Third, during the episodes of 2007-2009 US financial crisis, the impact of financial shocks is greater than that of trade shocks. Results suggest that (i) Asian economies are not decoupled with US; and (ii) different from conventional findings, financial linkages between US and Asian economies are strong, especially for highly developed Asian economies. Therefore, investors and policymakers of Asian economies should take account of US financial conditions. (C) 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

DOI： 10.1016/j.najef.2013.12.002

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Language：English   Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher：WILEY-BLACKWELL  

The response of the Japanese trade balance against expansionary macroeconomic policy shocks changed from positive to negative in the 1990s. With consideration of intratemporal (between tradable and nontradable goods) and intertemporal elasticity of substitutions, we investigate this cause using two-sector new open economy macroeconomics (NOEM). Empirical methods, considering structural change, were applied and show that before the break, intratemporal elasticity of substitution dominates, but subsequently the relation inverted and intertemporal elasticity became predominant and hence, the theoretical response of trade balance changed. Finally, we verify this theoretical implication empirically by impulse response analysis of structural vector auto regression.

DOI： 10.1111/roie.12087

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Language：English   Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher：ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC  

After the Asian crisis in 1997, the respective trade balances of Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, and Thailand reversed suddenly from deficit to surplus. By particularly addressing the sudden cessation of investment caused by the financial crisis, it is demonstrated that the IS balance adjustment dominates real exchange rate depreciation, indicating that to reform the large external imbalance of Asian countries, which is a major component of global imbalance, policymakers should target domestic absorption. Furthermore, it can be demonstrated that the large trade balance surplus of Asian countries will decrease along with recovery. Finally, policy implications related to the recent Euro crisis are provided. (C) 2013 Society for Policy Modeling. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

DOI： 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2013.04.002

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Authorship：Lead author  

File： 571f38965b2940a5610079f08f9b5c05.pdf

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Publishing type：Rapid communication, short report, research note, etc. (scientific journal)  

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Publishing type：Internal/External technical report, pre-print, etc.  

File： 301.pdf

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Language：Japanese   Publishing type：Article, review, commentary, editorial, etc. (other)  

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Language：English   Presentation type：Oral presentation (general)  

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Language：English   Presentation type：Oral presentation (general)  

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